Market Analysis

Before you enter a trade, you need a reason. That reason comes from analysis.

This section covers every analysis type — so you can find confluences, make decisions, and trade with confidence.


Analysis Types

technical-analysis

Study of price action using charts and indicators.

Core principle: Price discounts everything.

technical-analysis.md >>>


fundamental-analysis

Study of economic factors that affect value.

Core principle: Price follows fundamentals.

fundamental-analysis.md >>>


sentiment-analysis

Study of market feeling and positioning.

Core principle: Extremes create reversals.

sentiment-analysis.md >>>


price-action

Reading raw price movement without indicators.

Core principle: Price is the only truth.

price-action.md >>>


multi-timeframe

Analyzing multiple timeframes for confluence.

Core principle: Direction from higher, entry from lower.

multi-timeframe.md >>>


How Analysis Types Work Together

Analysis isn’t either/or. It’s about confluence — multiple factors pointing in the same direction.

Confluence Model

Technical ──────────┐
                  ├─→ High probability setup
Fundamental ─────┤
                  │
Sentiment ─────────┘

Example: Bullish Confluence

FactorSignalStrength
TechnicalUptrend, volume spike✓✓✓
FundamentalPositive earnings✓✓
SentimentFear low, greed rising✓✓

Three factors align = High confidence.


When Each Analysis Leads

SituationPrimary Analysis
Short-term tradesTechnical
Long-term tradesFundamental
Market extremesSentiment
Trend changesMultiple

Real Examples

Example 1: Forex Trade

Setup: EUR/USD

Technical:

  • Daily in uptrend (50 SMA > 200 SMA)
  • Price at daily support (1.0850)
  • RSI bouncing from 45
  • Bullish divergence on H1

Fundamental:

  • ECB hawkish, Fed dovish
  • Positive Euro data
  • Rate differential favoring EUR

Sentiment:

  • Retail heavily short
  • positioning showing accumulation

Decision: BUY at support


Example 2: Crypto Trade

Setup: Bitcoin

Technical:

  • Weekly at key support ($65K)
  • Bollinger lower band
  • Volume spike on breakdown
  • Divergence on RSI

Fundamental:

  • ETF approval positive
  • Institutional adoption increasing

Sentiment:

  • Extreme fear (fear/greed index < 20)
  • Social media panic

Decision: BUY at support


Example 3: Stock Trade

Setup: AAPL

Technical:

  • Daily in uptrend
  • Earnings gap up
  • Pullback to 20 EMA
  • Volume decreasing on pullback

Fundamental:

  • Earnings beat
  • New product announced

Sentiment:

  • Positive momentum

Decision: BUY on support bounce


Decision Framework

Before Every Trade: Ask These Questions

Question 1: What’s the Trend?

Check higher timeframe:

  • Uptrend → Look for longs
  • Downtrend → Look for shorts
  • Range → Look for range trades

Question 2: Where Are Key Levels?

Find:

  • Support (buy zones)
  • Resistance (sell zones)
  • Key pivots

Question 3: What’s the Catalyst?

Know what’s moving price:

  • News event
  • Earnings
  • Data release
  • Market sentiment

Question 4: What’s the Risk?

Define:

  • Max risk per trade
  • Stop placement
  • Position size

Question 5: Is There Confluence?

Multiple factors align:

  • Technical + Fundamental
  • OR Technical + Sentiment
  • OR All three

Analysis Checklist

☐ Trend identified on higher timeframe
☐ Key levels marked
☐催化剂 identified
☐ Confluence found (at least 2)
☐ Risk defined
☐ Entry/exit planned

Analysis by Market

Forex

PrimarySecondary
TechnicalFundamental (rates)
Daily/4H chartsInterest rate differentials

Crypto

PrimarySecondary
TechnicalSentiment
Daily/4H chartsSocial/market fear

Stocks

PrimarySecondary
FundamentalTechnical
Earnings, revenuePrice action

Indices

PrimarySecondary
TechnicalSentiment
Market directionMacro sentiment

Internal Links

Navigate analysis:

Connect to:


Your Next Step

Start with analysis fundamentals:

technical-analysis.md >>> (most traders start here)

fundamental-analysis.md >>> (for longer timeframes)

sentiment-analysis.md >>> (for reversals)


Analyze first. Trade second.