Market Analysis
Before you enter a trade, you need a reason. That reason comes from analysis.
This section covers every analysis type — so you can find confluences, make decisions, and trade with confidence.
Analysis Types
technical-analysis
Study of price action using charts and indicators.
Core principle: Price discounts everything.
fundamental-analysis
Study of economic factors that affect value.
Core principle: Price follows fundamentals.
sentiment-analysis
Study of market feeling and positioning.
Core principle: Extremes create reversals.
price-action
Reading raw price movement without indicators.
Core principle: Price is the only truth.
price-action.md >>>
multi-timeframe
Analyzing multiple timeframes for confluence.
Core principle: Direction from higher, entry from lower.
How Analysis Types Work Together
Analysis isn’t either/or. It’s about confluence — multiple factors pointing in the same direction.
Confluence Model
Technical ──────────┐
├─→ High probability setup
Fundamental ─────┤
│
Sentiment ─────────┘
Example: Bullish Confluence
| Factor | Signal | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | Uptrend, volume spike | ✓✓✓ |
| Fundamental | Positive earnings | ✓✓ |
| Sentiment | Fear low, greed rising | ✓✓ |
Three factors align = High confidence.
When Each Analysis Leads
| Situation | Primary Analysis |
|---|---|
| Short-term trades | Technical |
| Long-term trades | Fundamental |
| Market extremes | Sentiment |
| Trend changes | Multiple |
Real Examples
Example 1: Forex Trade
Setup: EUR/USD
Technical:
- Daily in uptrend (50 SMA > 200 SMA)
- Price at daily support (1.0850)
- RSI bouncing from 45
- Bullish divergence on H1
Fundamental:
- ECB hawkish, Fed dovish
- Positive Euro data
- Rate differential favoring EUR
Sentiment:
- Retail heavily short
- positioning showing accumulation
Decision: BUY at support
Example 2: Crypto Trade
Setup: Bitcoin
Technical:
- Weekly at key support ($65K)
- Bollinger lower band
- Volume spike on breakdown
- Divergence on RSI
Fundamental:
- ETF approval positive
- Institutional adoption increasing
Sentiment:
- Extreme fear (fear/greed index < 20)
- Social media panic
Decision: BUY at support
Example 3: Stock Trade
Setup: AAPL
Technical:
- Daily in uptrend
- Earnings gap up
- Pullback to 20 EMA
- Volume decreasing on pullback
Fundamental:
- Earnings beat
- New product announced
Sentiment:
- Positive momentum
Decision: BUY on support bounce
Decision Framework
Before Every Trade: Ask These Questions
Question 1: What’s the Trend?
Check higher timeframe:
- Uptrend → Look for longs
- Downtrend → Look for shorts
- Range → Look for range trades
Question 2: Where Are Key Levels?
Find:
- Support (buy zones)
- Resistance (sell zones)
- Key pivots
Question 3: What’s the Catalyst?
Know what’s moving price:
- News event
- Earnings
- Data release
- Market sentiment
Question 4: What’s the Risk?
Define:
- Max risk per trade
- Stop placement
- Position size
Question 5: Is There Confluence?
Multiple factors align:
- Technical + Fundamental
- OR Technical + Sentiment
- OR All three
Analysis Checklist
☐ Trend identified on higher timeframe
☐ Key levels marked
☐催化剂 identified
☐ Confluence found (at least 2)
☐ Risk defined
☐ Entry/exit planned
Analysis by Market
Forex
| Primary | Secondary |
|---|---|
| Technical | Fundamental (rates) |
| Daily/4H charts | Interest rate differentials |
Crypto
| Primary | Secondary |
|---|---|
| Technical | Sentiment |
| Daily/4H charts | Social/market fear |
Stocks
| Primary | Secondary |
|---|---|
| Fundamental | Technical |
| Earnings, revenue | Price action |
Indices
| Primary | Secondary |
|---|---|
| Technical | Sentiment |
| Market direction | Macro sentiment |
Internal Links
Navigate analysis:
- technical-analysis — Start here
- fundamental-analysis — Drivers
- sentiment-analysis — Mood
- price-action — Pure price
- multi-timeframe — Confluence
Connect to:
- strategies — Apply analysis
- tools — Tools for analysis
- strategies — Build your system
Your Next Step
Start with analysis fundamentals:
technical-analysis.md >>> (most traders start here)
fundamental-analysis.md >>> (for longer timeframes)
sentiment-analysis.md >>> (for reversals)
Analyze first. Trade second.